Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 4.474782 4.841227 5.236638 5.697300 6.222153 6.805028 7.506224
2025-04-06 3.790980 4.277471 4.837989 5.540149 6.408791 7.465682 8.877477
2025-04-13 3.373098 3.907352 4.549185 5.392875 6.497935 7.935073 10.017061
2025-04-20 3.109461 3.675993 4.379302 5.340443 6.660735 8.479863 11.317476
2025-04-27 2.973764 3.582248 4.361153 5.465973 7.056603 9.381533 13.307650
2025-05-04 2.868867 3.513712 4.362066 5.607017 7.480248 10.380323 15.692277
2025-05-11 2.730078 3.386495 4.268542 5.598102 7.671220 11.038497 17.660530
2025-05-18 2.616048 3.282738 4.196119 5.607696 7.884558 11.760573 19.958033
2025-05-25 2.459711 3.109858 4.011957 5.429387 7.768629 11.882364 21.049665
2025-06-01 2.333496 2.971562 3.867757 5.298731 7.714106 12.102483 22.426534
2025-06-08 2.257657 2.899908 3.815360 5.306053 7.893467 12.792772 25.171952
2025-06-15 2.215057 2.872913 3.826342 5.414175 8.261435 13.926627 29.587835
2025-06-22 2.102352 2.743725 3.683285 5.271112 8.180452 14.167280 31.811605
2025-06-29 1.997838 2.622807 3.547774 5.133210 8.100115 14.413924 34.300708
2025-07-06 1.904010 2.512963 3.422609 5.001987 8.015572 14.634276 36.881088
2025-07-13 1.836734 2.439507 3.349897 4.955189 8.091503 15.255084 41.455682
2025-07-20 1.808539 2.423447 3.366734 5.067201 8.505725 16.834469 51.708047
2025-07-27 1.784694 2.412444 3.390388 5.192880 8.968505 18.702542 66.391526
2025-08-03 1.736653 2.361333 3.344702 5.184942 9.135574 19.788762 78.819734
2025-08-10 1.694899 2.318114 3.309495 5.193484 9.341499 21.070417 95.894722
2025-08-17 1.625860 2.228931 3.192322 5.034570 9.132892 20.953492 101.240264
2025-08-24 1.568209 2.155977 3.099687 4.917935 9.014066 21.120471 110.249259
2025-08-31 1.535064 2.121041 3.070417 4.924476 9.197750 22.412607 136.653222